June Juice – June 25th
Records
Caz: 8–10 | +$2,334
TB: 8–11 | +$3,042
TB’s Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (vs. Colorado Rockies)
Odds: LAD @ 1.32
Wager Placed: 5x $500
Liquidation: 1.67 | To Win: +$820
Every time I’ve bet against Colorado, they’ve either won outright or liquidated me. And you know what? I don’t care. Not even a little. This is just too good of a spot for the Dodgers, and I’m going full send: 5x on L.A.
Colorado’s starter Dollander is a certified gas can. No surprise — he’s a fly-ball pitcher with below-average stuff trying to survive in home run–happy Coors Field. That’s a brutal combo against this Dodgers lineup.
Here are his splits:
- vs. RHH: .375 wOBA | 23% K rate | 2.22 HR/9
- vs. LHH: .345 wOBA | 16% K rate | 2.23 HR/9
It’s not going to hold up.
The Dodgers are stacked tonight — 8 of 9 hitters in the lineup have a wOBA above .300 vs. righties, and 5 of them are above .350. That’s an elite matchup profile against a pitcher like Dollander.
Yes, the Rockies jumped out early last night. But the Dodgers still rolled them late. That won’t happen again. No early leads. No comebacks needed.
Dodgers roll wire-to-wire. Lock it in.
Caz’s Pick: Texas Ranges (vs. Baltimore Orioles)
Odds: TEX @ -140
Wager Placed: 3x $500
Liquidation: +159 | To Win: $1,070
Bet Breakdown: Why the Rangers Are the Play vs. Baltimore Today
If you're looking for value on today’s MLB slate, the Texas Rangers are quietly lining up as the sharper side against the Orioles.
Matchup Advantage
Baltimore rolls out a lefty who’s been vulnerable early — and Texas crushes left-handed pitching. In June, the Rangers rank top 10 in OPS and wRC+ vs. LHP, with right-handed bats like García, Jung, and Semien all posting elite power splits.
Pitching Setup Favors Texas
The Rangers send out a right-hander who’s limiting barrels and keeping the ball in the park. Baltimore, on the other hand, has a .303 wOBA vs. righties over the past two weeks and has been striking out at a 25%+ clip.
Bullpen Edge
Texas enters with a more rested bullpen, while Baltimore’s pen has been taxed over the last few games — including back-to-back appearances from their high-leverage arms.
The Bet: TEX ML
With the line sitting at -140 on Levr.bet -160 on ESPN, the Rangers offer better value than the price suggests. You're getting a team with the better matchup splits that should have worse odds as the game goes live.
